Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-05-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-25

Keibert Ruiz

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs CLETanner Bibee
Sample1830.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 4.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
Model 12.5% Market 9.8% Gap +2.3pp
DraftKings 880 tracking Open board
Total Bases 2.5
P 23.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 23.8% Market 45.1% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 400 tracking Open board
Hits 2.5
P 59.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 59.6% Market -- Gap +1.5pp
FanDuel -155 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
44 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
60
Hard-hit%40.8%
51 +36 vs proj
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.431
25
xwOBA0.261
13 -23 vs proj
BB%2.4%
2
Bat speed65.8
10
K%12.8%
92
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
74
Catcher Throwing-0.0 · C
41
Framing Runs2.4 · C
84
Pop Time2.0 · C
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
11
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions71.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.259 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.279 to 0.352
RegressionNegative · -0.084
Opposing pitcherTanner Bibee
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)