Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-09-11 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-11

Keibert Ruiz

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs LAAYusei Kikuchi
Sample2031.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.6
F 12.0
V 12.1
Model 14.8% Market 9.7% Gap +4.8pp
DraftKings 900 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 56.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 67.5% Market 68.2% Gap +11.8pp
BetMGM -215 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
33
Exit velocity87.7
48
Hard-hit%36.8%
43 +25 vs proj
xBA0.279
13
xSLG0.426
23
xwOBA0.289
33
BB%5.0%
14
Bat speed66.1
12
K%10.5%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
58
Catcher Throwing-1.9 · C
12
Framing Runs2.6 · C
76
Pop Time2.0 · C
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.1 · C
6
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.4%
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.9%
14
Correct Decisions62.9%
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.331 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.372 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.279 to 0.352
RegressionNegative · -0.062
Opposing pitcherYusei Kikuchi
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)