Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-09 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-09

Jonathan India

KC · Hitter
IL60 · 6 Neutral
MatchupKC vs NYMSean Manaea
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.043, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.046, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.4
F 14.5
V 15.8
Model 16.4% Market 9.8% Gap +6.2pp
DraftKings 885 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 67.8% Market 68.8% Gap +8.7pp
BetMGM -220 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
35
Exit velocity85.5
21
Hard-hit%35.6%
32
xBA0.237
2
xSLG0.396
11
xwOBA0.284
27
BB%13.7%
92
Bat speed68.1
29
K%21.9%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
17
Range Runs-1.5 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 2B
59
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions72.6%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherSean Manaea
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1610 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1106 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8710 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 690 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 910 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.058 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)