Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Joey Bart

PIT · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 7 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupPIT vs CLEGavin Williams
Sample1083.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 51.4
F 49.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 52.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 56.9% Market 58.3% Gap +7.0pp
BetMGM -140 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56
Exit velocity86.2
28
Hard-hit%34.8%
30
xBA0.300
27
xSLG0.579
71
xwOBA0.289
31
BB%2.8%
4 -49 vs proj
Bat speed73.2
91
K%31.2%
12
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
59
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
41
Framing Runs-2.1 · C
23
Pop Time1.9 · C
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
29
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.257 to 0.332
RegressionNegative · -0.049
Opposing pitcherGavin Williams
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)