Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-05-26 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-26

Trent Grisham

NYY · Hitter · bats L · age 30
IN · 7 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs KCBailey Falter
Sample2593.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 41.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 41.6% Market 53.2% Gap +1.6pp
FanDuel 130 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.3%
84
Exit velocity91.2
85
Hard-hit%47.9%
83 +16 vs proj
xBA0.289
21
xSLG0.544
60
xwOBA0.338
75
BB%16.1%
96
Bat speed67.5
24
K%19.3%
65 +34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
67
Arm Strength90.2 · CF
28
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
20
Range Runs-1.9 · CF
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · CF
14
Sprint Speed26.8 · CF
36
SB Success Rate75.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions71.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.378
RegressionPositive · 0.002
Opposing pitcherBailey Falter
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)