Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Jake Mangum

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 30
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs HOUMike Burrows
Sample509.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.2
F 9.1
V 9.1
Model 7.4% Market 7.7% Gap -0.6pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 24.5
F 22.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 25.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.5% Market 26.3% Gap +2.5pp
DraftKings 290 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.7%
25
Barrel%0.7%
4
Bat speed63.7
4
Exit velocity80.5
2
Hard-hit%25.5%
7 -21 vs proj
K%20.9%
58 -28 vs proj
xBA0.325
53
xSLG0.410
17
xwOBA0.290
32
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
60
Arm Strength88.9 · LF
19
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
8
Range Runs-0.5 · LF
44
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · LF
68
Bolts7.0 · LF
67
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
60
Sprint Speed29.1 · LF
93
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.5% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions58.2% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.253 to 0.326
RegressionNegative · -0.063
Opposing pitcherMike Burrows
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)