Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Brandon Lowe

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs CLEGavin Williams
Sample3014.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.7
F 14.5
V 13.8
Model 19.2% Market 19.9% Gap -1.4pp
DraftKings 385 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.3
F 59.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 63.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.3% Market 71.8% Gap +9.6pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 17.6
F 15.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 17.6% Market -- Gap +8.7pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86
Exit velocity91.1
86
Hard-hit%46.2%
80
xBA0.352
79
xSLG0.654
88
xwOBA0.339
77
BB%9.3%
59
Bat speed70.9
70
K%26.8%
27
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.1 · 2B
15
Outs Above Avg8.0 · 2B
96
Range Runs6.1 · 2B
95
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
49
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
37
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8%
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1%
32
Correct Decisions64.5%
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.396
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.375
RegressionNegative · -0.020
Opposing pitcherGavin Williams
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)