Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Harrison Bader

SF · Hitter · bats R · age 32
IL10 · 9 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupSF vs SEABryce Miller
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 50.8
F 52.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 51.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 56.3% Market 57.5% Gap +6.6pp
BetMGM -135 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
53
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%41.1%
59 +15 vs proj
xBA0.316
44
xSLG0.540
61
xwOBA0.272
18
BB%4.4%
10
Bat speed70.7
66
K%31.6%
10 -30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
43
Arm Strength93.1 · CF
52
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs0.2 · CF
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · CF
53
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions59.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.263 to 0.325
RegressionPositive · 0.021
Opposing pitcherBryce Miller
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)