Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Alec Bohm

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs SDRandy Vásquez
Sample2902.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 17.1% Market 10.7% Gap +6.0pp
DraftKings 805 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.1
F 79.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 63.1% Market 78.1% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.0%
29
Barrel%2.5%
18 -24 vs proj
Bat speed69.6
49
Exit velocity90.4
77
Hard-hit%42.8%
63
K%13.6%
90
xBA0.283
17
xSLG0.411
17
xwOBA0.294
35 -34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength80.4 · 3B
13
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
27
Range Runs-1.9 · 3B
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · 3B
25
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.6% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions70.4% · rebadged research
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.316 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.312 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.298 to 0.382
RegressionNegative · -0.026
Opposing pitcherRandy Vásquez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)