Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Oneil Cruz

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IL10 · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupPIT vs CLEGavin Williams
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 54.6
F 53.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 53.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.8% Market 61.5% Gap +7.0pp
BetMGM -160 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
91
Exit velocity96.2
100
Hard-hit%60.0%
100
xBA0.421
99
xSLG0.810
99
xwOBA0.358
88
BB%10.7%
73
Bat speed76.6
99
K%34.3%
5
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · CF
56
Arm Strength101.9 · CF
99
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · CF
6
Range Runs-2.5 · CF
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.1 · CF
89
Bolts8.0 · CF
64
SB Success Rate81.0% · CF
48
Sprint Speed28.4 · CF
79
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2%
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
41
Correct Decisions63.8%
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.360 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.372
RegressionNegative · -0.038
Opposing pitcherGavin Williams
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)