Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Bo Naylor

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 26
OUT · 4 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs DETJack Flaherty
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 17.5% Market 13.4% Gap +3.7pp
DraftKings 620 tracking Open board
Total Bases 2.5
P 48.9
F 47.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 47.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 48.9% Market 47.8% Gap +1.7pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
68 +19 vs proj
Exit velocity90.5
79
Hard-hit%45.8%
77 +30 vs proj
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.547
61
xwOBA0.296
36
BB%7.4%
34 -24 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
59
K%24.1%
38
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
37
Catcher Throwing-0.7 · C
17
Framing Runs0.1 · C
52
Pop Time2.0 · C
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
49
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.257 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.298
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.263 to 0.336
RegressionPositive · 0.042
Opposing pitcherJack Flaherty
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)