Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-06-07 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-07

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 2 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupMIL vs COLKyle Freeland
Sample1763.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 16.7% Market 8.7% Gap +7.7pp
DraftKings 1010 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 53.5% Market 72.9% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -150 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +18.0pp
FanDuel 2200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity90.4
77
Hard-hit%47.8%
83 +40 vs proj
xBA0.376
89
xSLG0.645
84
xwOBA0.374
89 +28 vs proj
BB%16.8%
98 +43 vs proj
Bat speed67.8
26
K%23.4%
40 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
39
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
61
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
80
Range Runs1.2 · 2B
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · 2B
55
Bolts1.0 · 2B
16
SB Success Rate80.0% · 2B
51
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
85
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.7%
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5%
36
Correct Decisions69.4%
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.387
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.026
Opposing pitcherKyle Freeland
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)