Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs MIASandy Alcantara
Sample1904.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.3
F 14.7
V 11.9
Model 17.3% Market 10.0% Gap +6.9pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.4
F 68.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.4% Market 81.7% Gap +12.2pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 29.4
F 28.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 29.4% Market -- Gap +0.4pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
54 +24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%44.9%
76 +29 vs proj
xBA0.361
84
xSLG0.628
83
xwOBA0.348
84 +18 vs proj
BB%12.6%
88 +32 vs proj
Bat speed67.6
25
K%24.5%
39 -20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
52
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
55
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
94
Range Runs5.2 · 2B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 2B
67
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
34
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
34
Correct Decisions68.4%
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.033
Opposing pitcherSandy Alcantara
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)