Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-07-19 Refreshed Jul 21 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-19

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs MIAEury Pérez
Sample1908.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.109, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.080, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.059, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.1
F 15.5
V 11.7
Model 16.2% Market 10.0% Gap +5.9pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 79.9% Market 81.0% Gap +12.1pp
BetMGM -425 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
53
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%44.8%
75
xBA0.358
83
xSLG0.622
82
xwOBA0.346
82
BB%12.7%
88
Bat speed67.6
25
K%24.4%
40
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
53
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
54
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
94
Range Runs5.2 · 2B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 2B
66
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
34
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
34
Correct Decisions68.4%
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherEury Pérez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-21
Palantir 10338 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.008 14d error falling
Fangorn 10338 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 4743 props Brier 0.121 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 860 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.035 14d error rising
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 356 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.041 14d error rising
Palantir 4739 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.076 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 288 props Brier 0.176 ECE 0.047 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 462 props Brier 0.260 ECE 0.055 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)