Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-05-24 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-24

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs SDMichael King
Sample1745.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 10.4
F 13.6
V 10.2
Model 16.4% Market 20.8% Gap -4.5pp
BetMGM 380 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 55.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 55.4% Market 65.6% Gap -3.4pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 16.6% Market -- Gap +83.4pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.1%
93 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity92.3
91
Hard-hit%46.2%
77
xBA0.388
92
xSLG0.729
92
xwOBA0.400
97 +43 vs proj
BB%10.1%
65 +30 vs proj
Bat speed74.1
95
K%19.7%
62 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
93
Catcher Throwing0.3 · C
54
Framing Runs-1.7 · C
23
Pop Time1.9 · C
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · C
42
Sprint Speed28.4 · C
83
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions73.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.250 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.218
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.041
Opposing pitcherMichael King
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)