Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-05-31 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-31

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs NYYWill Warren
Sample1768.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.6
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 19.5% Market 20.3% Gap -1.5pp
DraftKings 375 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 35.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 35.1% Market 57.5% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 175 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +11.7pp
FanDuel 6000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.0%
93 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity92.3
92
Hard-hit%46.2%
76
xBA0.370
86
xSLG0.698
91
xwOBA0.385
94 +39 vs proj
BB%9.2%
55 +20 vs proj
Bat speed74.1
95
K%19.6%
62 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.0 · C
93
Catcher Throwing0.5 · C
53
Framing Runs-2.9 · C
12
Pop Time1.9 · C
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · C
42
Sprint Speed28.5 · C
83
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4%
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0%
89
Correct Decisions67.7%
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.318 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.371
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.030
Opposing pitcherWill Warren
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)