Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter · bats R · age 29

IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupATH vs WSHCade Cavalli

Sample1903.0career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 15.2

F 13.5

V 15.2

Model 17.5% Market 20.8% Gap -3.3pp

BetMGM 380 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 61.6

F 60.4 EXPERIMENTAL

V 60.0 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 70.0% Market 71.0% Gap +9.4pp

BetMGM -245 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%10.0%

96 +16 vs proj

Exit velocity92.0

Hard-hit%45.1%

xBA0.354

xSLG0.673

xwOBA0.360

89 +30 vs proj

BB%8.3%

Bat speed74.1

K%21.8%

Defense · percentile strip

Blocking Runs-0.5 · C

Catcher Throwing1.6 · C

Framing Runs-4.2 · C

Pop Time1.9 · C

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-0.0 · C

Sprint Speed28.5 · C

SB Success Rate66.7% · C

Small sample

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9%

Correct Decisions67.1%

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.315 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.352

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.305 to 0.363

RegressionNegative · -0.009

Opposing pitcherCade Cavalli

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-17

Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable

Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)