Mithrandir Metrics
HOU 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Isaac Paredes

HOU · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupHOU vs BALDean Kremer
Sample2246.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 13.8
F 13.9
V 15.3
Model 18.3% Market 15.2% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 530 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.6
F 62.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 71.2% Market 72.2% Gap +9.6pp
BetMGM -260 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
35
Exit velocity86.8
32
Hard-hit%30.6%
16
xBA0.293
23
xSLG0.445
27
xwOBA0.316
60
BB%9.7%
64
Bat speed66.0
12
K%16.3%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
40
Arm Strength80.8 · 3B
10
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs0.6 · 3B
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 3B
19
Sprint Speed25.0 · 3B
5
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9%
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3%
49
Correct Decisions66.9%
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.256 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.377 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.366
RegressionNegative · -0.037
Opposing pitcherDean Kremer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)