Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Michael Harris II

ATL · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 8 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupATL vs TORKevin Gausman
Sample2175.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 57.5
F 75.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 74.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.5% Market 72.6% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +12.6pp
FanDuel 5000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.3%
9
Barrel%11.9%
98 +21 vs proj
Bat speed73.3
91
Exit velocity92.5
93
Hard-hit%54.7%
97 +20 vs proj
K%17.9%
76
xBA0.383
92
xSLG0.711
92
xwOBA0.391
95 +21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
67
Arm Strength92.6 · CF
56
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Range Runs2.9 · CF
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.5 · CF
0
Sprint Speed27.4 · CF
53
SB Success Rate50.0% · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 52.5% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions58.8% · rebadged research
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.308 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.315 to 0.385
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherKevin Gausman
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)