Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Maikel Garcia

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IL10 · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupKC vs SDMichael King
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 59.1
F 61.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 59.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.6% Market 67.7% Gap +8.7pp
BetMGM -210 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
27 -17 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
70
Hard-hit%42.4%
65
xBA0.327
57
xSLG0.449
28
xwOBA0.316
60
BB%8.6%
49
Bat speed70.2
58
K%15.5%
85
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
46
Arm Strength89.3 · 3B
73
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
89
Range Runs4.3 · 3B
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · 3B
55
SB Success Rate62.5% · 3B
16
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
58
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.3%
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 32.0%
9
Correct Decisions66.4%
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.321
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.311 to 0.374
RegressionNegative · -0.003
Opposing pitcherMichael King
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)