Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-05-24 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-24

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupAZ vs COLJose Quintana
Sample1967.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.0
F 15.7
V 11.8
Model 13.1% Market 8.9% Gap +4.0pp
DraftKings 990 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 60.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 60.4% Market 75.9% Gap -3.5pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
18
Exit velocity85.7
19
Hard-hit%35.5%
28 +17 vs proj
xBA0.296
25
xSLG0.398
17
xwOBA0.331
68
BB%16.3%
96 +17 vs proj
Bat speed61.6
2
K%11.6%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
37
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
79
Outs Above Avg3.0 · SS
88
Range Runs2.2 · SS
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · SS
85
SB Success Rate88.9% · SS
79
Sprint Speed26.8 · SS
37
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 81.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions76.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.220
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.303 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.026
Opposing pitcherJose Quintana
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)