Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-05-31 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-31

Josh Jung

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs KCMichael Wacha
Sample1438.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 50.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.1% Market 66.8% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +13.3pp
FanDuel 7000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46 -23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
73
Hard-hit%47.5%
81
xBA0.370
86
xSLG0.564
65
xwOBA0.364
86 +35 vs proj
BB%7.0%
30
Bat speed69.3
44
K%14.4%
87 +45 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.6 · 3B
62
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
9
Range Runs-1.3 · 3B
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.4 · 3B
7
Sprint Speed25.9 · 3B
18
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5%
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7%
44
Correct Decisions66.0%
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.368
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.326
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.270 to 0.350
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherMichael Wacha
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)