Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Josh Jung

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs ATLChris Sale
Sample1572.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.3
F 13.5
V 9.1
Model 16.1% Market 12.6% Gap +3.0pp
DraftKings 665 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 51.5
F 62.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 51.5% Market 71.4% Gap +9.4pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 18.3
F 18.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 18.3% Market -- Gap +9.5pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
44 -27 vs proj
Exit velocity90.7
83
Hard-hit%49.1%
88
xBA0.363
85
xSLG0.548
64
xwOBA0.350
84 +30 vs proj
BB%8.2%
46 +30 vs proj
Bat speed69.1
41
K%17.7%
76 +30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.6 · 3B
50
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
28
Range Runs-0.5 · 3B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · 3B
9
Sprint Speed25.8 · 3B
14
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5%
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4%
37
Correct Decisions65.3%
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.322
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.270 to 0.350
RegressionNegative · -0.029
Opposing pitcherChris Sale
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)