Mithrandir Metrics
HOU 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Jake Meyers

HOU · Hitter · bats R · age 30
OUT · 9 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupHOU vs BALDean Kremer
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 56.5
F 54.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 57.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 63.2% Market 64.3% Gap +7.8pp
BetMGM -180 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
49 +19 vs proj
Exit velocity85.3
20
Hard-hit%28.9%
13 -20 vs proj
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.402
13
xwOBA0.255
9 -34 vs proj
BB%6.3%
22
Bat speed64.6
6
K%20.3%
63
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · CF
75
Arm Strength88.1 · CF
13
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
90
Range Runs1.6 · CF
71
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · CF
65
SB Success Rate33.3% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.1%
Small sample
Mithrandir Stuff+85
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.280 to 0.342
RegressionNegative · -0.043
Opposing pitcherDean Kremer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)