Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Julio Rodríguez

SEA · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IN · 2 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupSEA vs WSHZack Littell
Sample2667.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 23.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 23.1% Market 17.2% Gap +5.2pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
70
Exit velocity90.5
79
Hard-hit%44.4%
70 -18 vs proj
xBA0.341
67
xSLG0.607
77
xwOBA0.340
75
BB%7.2%
32
Bat speed75.3
98
K%21.1%
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · CF
76
Arm Strength98.5 · CF
93
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · CF
0
Range Runs-2.2 · CF
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · CF
47
Bolts11.0 · CF
75
SB Success Rate77.8% · CF
41
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
88
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.3%
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7%
74
Correct Decisions63.4%
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.400
RegressionNegative · -0.010
Opposing pitcherZack Littell
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)