Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Julio Rodríguez

SEA · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IL10 · 1 Positive regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupSEA vs SFLanden Roupp
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.7
F 13.5
V 14.9
Model 16.8% Market 17.5% Gap -1.4pp
DraftKings 450 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.9
F 66.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 70.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 80.0% Market 81.0% Gap +12.0pp
BetMGM -425 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
71
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%44.5%
74
xBA0.356
82
xSLG0.616
80
xwOBA0.350
85
BB%7.7%
38
Bat speed74.8
97
K%20.9%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · CF
70
Arm Strength98.5 · CF
89
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs-1.0 · CF
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · CF
68
Bolts18.0 · CF
78
SB Success Rate78.6% · CF
41
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
89
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1%
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4%
66
Correct Decisions62.8%
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.322
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.400
RegressionPositive · 0.000
Opposing pitcherLanden Roupp
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)