Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Zack Gelof

ATH · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IL10 · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupATH vs WSHCade Cavalli
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 51.6
F 54.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 52.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.2% Market 58.3% Gap +6.7pp
BetMGM -140 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
38 -22 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
43
Hard-hit%41.3%
61
xBA0.310
35
xSLG0.517
53
xwOBA0.289
31
BB%6.2%
21 -18 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
80
K%24.7%
38 +31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
11
Arm Strength91.0 · 3B
80
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
18
Range Runs0.0 · 3B
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.1 · 3B
88
Bolts6.0 · 3B
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
93
Sprint Speed28.8 · 3B
88
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.375 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.229 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.085
Opposing pitcherCade Cavalli
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)