Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-03 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-03

Bryson Stott

PHI · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 6 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs SDWalker Buehler
Sample2204.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.043, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.046, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 51.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 51.9% Market 70.9% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +4.6pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56 +30 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
61
Hard-hit%41.5%
57 +38 vs proj
xBA0.305
32
xSLG0.484
41
xwOBA0.303
43
BB%5.0%
14 -27 vs proj
Bat speed68.2
30
K%16.1%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
52
Arm Strength86.5 · 2B
59
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 2B
93
Range Runs3.0 · 2B
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.5 · 2B
97
Bolts1.0 · 2B
17
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
93
Sprint Speed28.5 · 2B
83
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions60.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.259 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.362
RegressionNegative · -0.023
Opposing pitcherWalker Buehler
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1610 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1106 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8710 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 690 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 910 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.058 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)