Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Bryson Stott

PHI · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 9 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs ATLChris Sale
Sample2483.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 35.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 35.7% Market 60.8% Gap +9.7pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 10.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 10.0% Market -- Gap +11.2pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
38
Exit velocity88.9
62
Hard-hit%38.1%
49 +26 vs proj
xBA0.330
64
xSLG0.496
48
xwOBA0.328
76 +19 vs proj
BB%9.5%
63 +15 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
28
K%16.7%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
72
Arm Strength86.5 · 2B
45
Outs Above Avg6.0 · 2B
91
Range Runs7.5 · 2B
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs6.8 · 2B
99
Bolts3.0 · 2B
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
94
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
76
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5%
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.4%
10
Correct Decisions63.6%
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.251 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.310
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.362
RegressionNegative · -0.016
Opposing pitcherChris Sale
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)