Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Kerry Carpenter

DET · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLETanner Bibee
Sample1349.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 18.4% Market 20.2% Gap -1.8pp
BetMGM 395 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.7
F 79.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 77.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.7% Market 74.3% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 21.5
F 23.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 21.5% Market -- Gap +5.5pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
60 -23 vs proj
Exit velocity91.1
85
Hard-hit%46.9%
81
xBA0.318
45
xSLG0.597
73
xwOBA0.290
30 -48 vs proj
BB%8.2%
43
Bat speed70.5
64
K%31.8%
7 -33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · RF
27
Arm Strength92.0 · RF
48
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
21
Range Runs-5.2 · RF
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
32
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions62.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.335
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.319 to 0.379
RegressionNegative · -0.092
Opposing pitcherTanner Bibee
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)