Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-05-30 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-30

Andy Pages

LAD · Hitter
IN · 7 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs PHIJesús Luzardo
Sample1196.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.6
F 11.4
V 11.4
Model 14.8% Market 13.4% Gap +1.0pp
DraftKings 620 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.0% Market 59.1% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel -160 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
65
Exit velocity89.8
66
Hard-hit%47.0%
80 +39 vs proj
xBA0.365
84
xSLG0.618
78
xwOBA0.358
83 +21 vs proj
BB%6.8%
27
Bat speed70.4
63
K%18.5%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.4 · CF
97
Arm Strength97.5 · CF
88
Outs Above Avg5.0 · CF
97
Range Runs4.8 · CF
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · CF
50
SB Success Rate85.7% · CF
66
Sprint Speed28.1 · CF
72
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.9%
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1%
40
Correct Decisions64.3%
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.329 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.364 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.058
Opposing pitcherJesús Luzardo
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)