Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-08-27 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-08-27

Andy Pages

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IL10 · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs ATLChris Sale
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 11.7
F 11.3
V 8.8
Model 15.7% Market 13.4% Gap +1.8pp
DraftKings 620 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 75.7% Market 76.7% Gap +14.4pp
BetMGM -330 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56
Exit velocity88.7
58
Hard-hit%42.3%
67 +18 vs proj
xBA0.348
79
xSLG0.560
68
xwOBA0.340
84
BB%8.2%
47 +26 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
70
K%19.0%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs4.2 · CF
98
Arm Strength100.1 · CF
92
Outs Above Avg9.0 · CF
98
Range Runs7.6 · CF
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · CF
31
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
19
Sprint Speed28.3 · CF
75
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.321 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.384 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.381
RegressionNegative · -0.022
Opposing pitcherChris Sale
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)