Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Agustín Ramírez

MIA · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 4 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIA vs CHCShota Imanaga
Sample711.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 13.2
F 12.6
V 11.5
Model 18.9% Market 14.6% Gap +3.7pp
FanDuel 560 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 72.8% Market 73.7% Gap +13.8pp
BetMGM -280 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
21 -57 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
72
Hard-hit%39.0%
52 -27 vs proj
xBA0.293
23
xSLG0.401
13
xwOBA0.276
22 -57 vs proj
BB%11.8%
86 +62 vs proj
Bat speed74.2
95
K%23.1%
48 -33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.5 · C
8
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
40
Framing Runs-2.2 · C
25
Pop Time2.0 · C
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · DH
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.298
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.320 to 0.383
RegressionNegative · -0.059
Opposing pitcherShota Imanaga
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)