Mithrandir Metrics
CIN 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Elly De La Cruz

CIN · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCIN vs AZEduardo Rodriguez
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.9% Market 15.0% Gap +5.3pp
FanDuel 540 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.6%
93 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity94.5
98
Hard-hit%55.4%
98
xBA0.405
96
xSLG0.742
97
xwOBA0.362
85
BB%8.6%
47 -16 vs proj
Bat speed73.0
90
K%29.3%
16
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
40
Arm Strength96.6 · SS
97
Outs Above Avg6.0 · SS
97
Range Runs4.6 · SS
95
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · SS
36
Bolts3.0 · SS
44
SB Success Rate60.0% · SS
10
Sprint Speed28.4 · SS
81
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8%
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0%
18
Correct Decisions64.7%
35
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.321
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.406
RegressionNegative · -0.057
Opposing pitcherEduardo Rodriguez
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)