Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Corbin Carroll

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupAZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan
Sample2024.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.9% Market 17.5% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 450 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.7%
85
Barrel%8.4%
84
Bat speed73.9
94
Exit velocity91.7
89
Hard-hit%50.6%
92 +17 vs proj
K%23.5%
40 -19 vs proj
xBA0.364
83
xSLG0.656
87
xwOBA0.368
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.3 · RF
2
Arm Strength86.5 · RF
9
Outs Above Avg4.0 · RF
96
Range Runs3.5 · RF
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.1 · RF
98
Bolts19.0 · RF
88
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
66
Sprint Speed29.6 · RF
96
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.0% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.401 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.398 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.394
RegressionNegative · -0.050
Opposing pitcherEmmet Sheehan
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)