Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Brett Baty

NYM · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 8 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs SEALogan Gilbert
Sample1113.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 47.9
F 50.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 48.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 47.9% Market 46.8% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.3%
57
Barrel%6.0%
63
Bat speed72.7
86
Exit velocity89.7
65
Hard-hit%38.8%
46 -20 vs proj
K%27.4%
24 -17 vs proj
xBA0.345
70
xSLG0.555
63
xwOBA0.302
42
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
59
Arm Strength88.4 · 3B
72
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
9
Range Runs-2.1 · 3B
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · 3B
61
Sprint Speed26.9 · 3B
39
SB Success Rate66.7% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions69.9% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.345
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherLogan Gilbert
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)