Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-05-24 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-24

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs SEABryan Woo
Sample1788.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.9
F 26.0
V 19.5
Model 20.7% Market 17.2% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 62.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 62.8% Market 74.3% Gap -3.6pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
61
Exit velocity89.0
54
Hard-hit%36.1%
32 -37 vs proj
xBA0.302
30
xSLG0.492
43
xwOBA0.308
44 -25 vs proj
BB%10.0%
63 +23 vs proj
Bat speed67.5
24
K%18.6%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
44
Range Runs-0.3 · 1B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · 1B
36
Sprint Speed25.3 · 1B
10
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions76.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.245 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.289 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.318 to 0.376
RegressionPositive · 0.014
Opposing pitcherBryan Woo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)