Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 5 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs SDMichael King
Sample1867.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.3
F 18.0
V 18.5
Model 19.8% Market 16.7% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 475 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.7
F 64.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 76.8% Market 77.8% Gap +11.1pp
BetMGM -350 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
52 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity88.7
56
Hard-hit%38.9%
49 -25 vs proj
xBA0.306
31
xSLG0.487
41
xwOBA0.313
57 -16 vs proj
BB%10.6%
73 +30 vs proj
Bat speed68.3
32
K%17.0%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.5 · 1B
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 1B
30
Sprint Speed25.7 · 1B
13
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2%
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4%
67
Correct Decisions66.4%
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.246 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.318 to 0.376
RegressionPositive · 0.002
Opposing pitcherMichael King
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)