Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-05-24 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-24

Dominic Canzone

SEA · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSEA vs KCSeth Lugo
Sample690.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.0
F 17.9
V 13.5
Model 17.6% Market 15.4% Gap +1.6pp
FanDuel 525 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 58.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 58.9% Market 72.9% Gap -3.5pp
FanDuel 165 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.6%
91 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity92.6
94
Hard-hit%44.1%
66
xBA0.345
71
xSLG0.605
76
xwOBA0.345
78 +17 vs proj
BB%8.9%
50 +18 vs proj
Bat speed72.8
87
K%20.7%
56 +15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
68 Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · DH
26
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.245 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.218
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.276 to 0.351
RegressionNegative · -0.031
Opposing pitcherSeth Lugo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)