Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Isaac Collins

KC · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupKC vs SDMichael King
Sample656.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 56.1
F 57.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 56.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.7% Market 63.6% Gap +7.5pp
BetMGM -175 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29
Exit velocity87.0
35
Hard-hit%40.3%
56
xBA0.328
58
xSLG0.464
33
xwOBA0.315
59
BB%11.9%
84
Bat speed70.5
62
K%22.6%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
34
Arm Strength91.8 · LF
41
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs-3.5 · LF
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.6 · LF
3
Bolts1.0 · LF
15
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
3
Sprint Speed27.5 · LF
53
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.1%
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5%
37
Correct Decisions69.5%
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.239
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.258 to 0.368
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherMichael King
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)