Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Brenton Doyle

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCOL vs CINBrady Singer
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.0
F 13.5
V 14.1
Model 18.8% Market 12.1% Gap +6.2pp
DraftKings 700 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.0
F 55.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 55.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 63.9% Market 64.9% Gap +7.9pp
BetMGM -185 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
36 -25 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
36
Hard-hit%34.9%
31 -33 vs proj
xBA0.309
35
xSLG0.436
25
xwOBA0.248
7 -39 vs proj
BB%9.0%
54 +33 vs proj
Bat speed69.5
47
K%29.0%
18
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · CF
19
Arm Strength98.9 · CF
91
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs-0.2 · CF
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · CF
59
Bolts7.0 · CF
61
SB Success Rate80.0% · CF
45
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
86
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.257 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.277 to 0.352
RegressionNegative · -0.097
Opposing pitcherBrady Singer
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)