Mithrandir Metrics
STL 2026-05-24 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-24

Victor Scott II

STL · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 1 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupSTL vs CINBrady Singer
Sample670.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 1.7
F 0.0
V 0.0
Model 9.7% Market 7.7% Gap +1.7pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 38.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 38.5% Market 60.7% Gap -3.1pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 16.1% Market -- Gap +83.9pp
FanDuel 390 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.6%
4 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity79.9
3
Hard-hit%29.6%
11
xBA0.315
40
xSLG0.425
22
xwOBA0.264
14 -17 vs proj
BB%6.7%
25
Bat speed62.7
3
K%24.4%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · CF
29
Arm Strength91.3 · CF
38
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
92
Range Runs1.7 · CF
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · CF
38
Bolts18.0 · CF
89
SB Success Rate62.5% · CF
16
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
97
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.229
Small sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.255 to 0.333
RegressionNegative · -0.043
Opposing pitcherBrady Singer
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)