Mithrandir Metrics
STL 2026-05-30 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-30

Victor Scott II

STL · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSTL vs CHCBen Brown
Sample680.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 8.3
F 0.0
V 0.0
Model 9.7% Market 7.7% Gap +1.7pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 64.8% Market 63.0% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel -190 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 2.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.1% Market -- Gap +3.2pp
FanDuel 4000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.6%
3 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity80.1
2
Hard-hit%28.3%
11
xBA0.313
38
xSLG0.420
21
xwOBA0.263
13 -17 vs proj
BB%7.0%
29
Bat speed62.5
3
K%24.4%
36 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
42
Arm Strength91.3 · CF
38
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
90
Range Runs2.2 · CF
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · CF
54
Bolts25.0 · CF
92
SB Success Rate62.5% · CF
16
Sprint Speed29.7 · CF
98
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.255 to 0.333
RegressionNegative · -0.038
Opposing pitcherBen Brown
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)