Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-05-26 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-26

Colt Keith

DET · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz
Sample1077.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
Model 17.5% Market 10.5% Gap +6.6pp
DraftKings 820 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 30.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 30.6% Market 52.2% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
48
Exit velocity89.9
68
Hard-hit%41.7%
57
xBA0.343
70
xSLG0.514
50
xwOBA0.305
44 -27 vs proj
BB%6.7%
27 -22 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
52
K%20.8%
56
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs-1.2 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · 3B
86
Bolts1.0 · 3B
17
Sprint Speed28.4 · 3B
81
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.317 to 0.382
RegressionNegative · -0.045
Opposing pitcherJack Kochanowicz
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)