Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Colt Keith

DET · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLETanner Bibee
Sample1117.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.4
F 13.6
V 13.6
Model 16.5% Market 10.5% Gap +5.6pp
DraftKings 820 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 52.5
F 74.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 52.5% Market 69.9% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel 165 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 19.1
F 20.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 19.1% Market -- Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 360 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
49
Exit velocity89.4
62
Hard-hit%43.6%
67 +15 vs proj
xBA0.332
59
xSLG0.496
44
xwOBA0.301
42 -28 vs proj
BB%6.9%
28 -22 vs proj
Bat speed70.2
58
K%20.3%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs-1.2 · 3B
33
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · 3B
83
Bolts1.0 · 3B
16
Sprint Speed28.4 · 3B
81
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.322 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.317 to 0.382
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherTanner Bibee
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)