Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs WSHCade Cavalli
Sample1174.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.1
F 14.7
V 14.2
Model 17.0% Market 14.0% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 585 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.7
F 62.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 71.5% Market 72.6% Gap +9.9pp
BetMGM -265 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
78
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%45.3%
77
xBA0.323
52
xSLG0.542
61
xwOBA0.343
81
BB%12.8%
88 +34 vs proj
Bat speed72.6
84
K%17.5%
77 +24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
89
Arm Strength96.0 · LF
73
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
2
Range Runs-4.3 · LF
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · LF
30
Sprint Speed27.2 · LF
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7%
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3%
83
Correct Decisions70.2%
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.381
RegressionNegative · -0.036
Opposing pitcherCade Cavalli
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)