Mithrandir Metrics
CHC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Pete Crow-Armstrong

CHC · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCHC vs MINBailey Ober
Sample1335.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 60.4
F 59.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 59.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.3% Market 69.2% Gap +8.8pp
BetMGM -225 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity88.7
57
Hard-hit%48.1%
86 +27 vs proj
xBA0.373
90
xSLG0.679
91
xwOBA0.364
90 +26 vs proj
BB%11.3%
79 +60 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
79
K%25.8%
32 -19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · CF
99
Arm Strength101.0 · CF
97
Outs Above Avg16.0 · CF
100
Range Runs14.6 · CF
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.7 · CF
93
Bolts25.0 · CF
85
SB Success Rate79.2% · CF
42
Sprint Speed29.5 · CF
96
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1%
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2%
76
Correct Decisions64.1%
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.370 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.377
RegressionNegative · -0.035
Opposing pitcherBailey Ober
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)