Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-05-31 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-31

Dillon Dingler

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CWSSean Burke
Sample709.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 23.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 23.5% Market 25.4% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 350 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +15.9pp
FanDuel 7500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.6%
86 +33 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
57
Hard-hit%47.8%
83
xBA0.378
90
xSLG0.705
92
xwOBA0.386
95 +27 vs proj
BB%8.6%
47 +33 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
54
K%20.3%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.8 · C
97
Catcher Throwing0.7 · C
69
Framing Runs4.1 · C
97
Pop Time1.9 · C
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · C
34
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
58
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4%
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6%
45
Correct Decisions65.1%
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.356 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.312
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.391
RegressionNegative · -0.023
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)