Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-07-27 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-27

Dillon Dingler

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs BALKyle Bradish
Sample876.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.074, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.072, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.057, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.087, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.140, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 54.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 64.7% Market 65.5% Gap +11.0pp
BetMGM -190 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 11.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 11.8% Market -- Gap +17.2pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
86 +31 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%46.4%
82
xBA0.377
92
xSLG0.685
93
xwOBA0.377
96 +24 vs proj
BB%6.0%
21
Bat speed70.4
61
K%20.7%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.3 · C
96
Catcher Throwing0.0 · C
57
Framing Runs6.3 · C
99
Pop Time1.9 · C
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · C
64
Sprint Speed27.5 · C
53
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4%
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5%
46
Correct Decisions65.5%
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.366 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.323
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.391
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherKyle Bradish
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-27
Palantir 11499 props Brier 0.122 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 11499 props Brier 0.122 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 5904 props Brier 0.116 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 964 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.031 14d error rising
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 460 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Palantir 5326 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.073 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 344 props Brier 0.177 ECE 0.049 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 512 props Brier 0.259 ECE 0.056 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)