Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-08-31 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-08-31

Dillon Dingler

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs MINTaj Bradley
Sample998.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.061, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.045, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 46.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 46.3% Market 67.7% Gap +12.1pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 13.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 13.2% Market -- Gap +14.6pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
80 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity88.1
53
Hard-hit%42.3%
69
xBA0.356
86
xSLG0.632
85
xwOBA0.350
90
BB%5.8%
20
Bat speed70.3
61
K%22.0%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.3 · C
96
Catcher Throwing2.4 · C
90
Framing Runs7.2 · C
99
Pop Time1.9 · C
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · C
57
Sprint Speed27.4 · C
49
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.7%
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
41
Correct Decisions65.8%
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.364 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.249 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.391
RegressionNegative · -0.020
Opposing pitcherTaj Bradley
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-08-31
Palantir 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12111 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1556 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1052 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.017 14d error rising
Palantir 8442 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.048 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 663 props Brier 0.164 ECE 0.032 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 870 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.062 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)